If you have walked by my house, you may have seen my O'Malley for Governor sign. And while at the Howard County Fair today with my son Gus, I grabbed an O'Malley sticker for my car. I admit it. I have turned into what I once scorned: A Little Green Man.
So how does a dyed-in-the-wool Duncan guy come around to the Green side? As a brilliant reader of this blog (yeah, my wife) put it, if the choices are chocolate, vanilla, and liver, and they run out of chocolate, those with great wisdom go with vanilla. So that's me. Green and vanilla.
Now I need to square my hard-line opposition to slots with my new-found support for a candidate who supports "limited slots at the racetracks." So how do I do this? Here's how:
Why does O'Malley hold this position? My thinking is that by being at least nominally in favor of slots, Martin O'Malley takes the issue off the table during the election. Ehrlich cannot attack him on slots if they both agree. Note that most politicians support the Inter-County Connector for what I suspect are similar reasons. While slots have waned in popularity as voters have become more educated about the negative impact, they still poll at around 48%. O'Malley clearly sees no reason to risk such a large number of votes.
So what does he really think? I have heard him say that he thinks slots are not great policy. A friend told me today that he attended a recent O'Malley fundraiser where O'Malley said that if House Speaker Busch and Senate President Miller came up with what they felt was a good slots package, he would consider it. He further intimated that he hoped this would not happen. He directed that comment to a gentleman present in the room--Speaker Busch himself. Based on this exchange and other things I have heard, I don't see slots coming up too quickly on O'Malley's watch.
But with Democrats in control of the House, the Senate, and the Governor's office, wouldn't slots pass easily? In theory, Annapolis Dems could give Ehrlich one final kick in the teeth by passing his signature legislative piece after Ehrlich leaves office. But I doubt it. First, why would O'Malley want to pick up Ehrlich's failed agenda? The last thing he wants to do is follow Ehrlich's lead. O'Malley will also want to have a great first session. Remember, the legislative session starts almost immediately after he takes office. He will want a series of positive agenda items that will not cause massive controversy among Democrats.
O'Malley's running mate, Anthony Brown, currently serves in the house as Majority Whip for Mike Busch. For those sleeping in civics class, the Whip is responsible for knowing the vote count on bills so that the Speaker knows when it is a good time to bring his favored bills to a floor vote. Busch has mentored Brown, and Brown has been a front and center champion in the fight against slots. Brown will likely act as a sort of legislative director for O'Malley, helping him navigate his agenda through the House.
I cannot imagine Brown bringing Mike Busch a slots bill and asking him to get it passed. Lastly, House Speaker Mike Busch has held back a tsunami tide of slots lobbying for the past four years. For him, it's beyond politics. It's personal. He passionately believes that gambling expansion is bad for Maryland. Democrats are not going to forget that. And they are not going to disrespect him over this issue. He stood tall against Ehrlich. They can't ask him to set aside his position now.
So that's how I see it, and why I feel that despite the weird signals from O'Malley on this issue I am going to strongly support him. There are too many other important aspects to governing our state to allow Ehrlich to screw it up any more than he already has.